In 2022, for example, NOAA has predicted a higher-than-average Atlantic hurricane season partly due to warmer ocean waters and ongoing La Niña conditions.įor the most part, scientists are telling the public to brace for harsher storms with more severe impacts. ![]() Despite recent years with an above-average number of hurricanes in the Atlantic, the IPCC says that there isn’t a strong trend toward more tropical storms per year.Īccording to Yale Climate Connections, some research indicates that there might even be slightly fewer hurricanes as the climate crisis worsens, due to changing wind patterns.Ĭonditions vary from year to year. There is one measure of hurricanes that may not be getting worse with the climate crisis. During Harvey, floods in the Houston area lasted for days, with thousands of homes damaged or destroyed and more than 100 people dead. With such intense, sustained storms, flooding can be devastating. Hurricane Harvey was notoriously slow to dissipate, hanging around the Texas Gulf Coast for days and dropping upwards of 40 inches of rain in some spots. ![]() One study found that, since 1949, hurricanes have slowed by 10 per cent - but there isn’t scientific consensus on why. In addition to storm intensity, hurricanes often cause more damage if they linger over the coast, and this slowdown may also be a result of the climate crisis. Over the past four decades, the proportion of yearly cyclones that reach at least Category 3 in strength - meaning wind speed at least 111 mph (178 kph) - has increased, says the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the leading authority on global climate science. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) says that the climate crisis’s impact on hurricane power is “like adding fuel to a fire.” Warmer air and water fuel hurricane growth, powering intense winds and sending water into the clouds. Since 1901, the top layer of the ocean has become about 1.5C hotter, according to the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Scientists have calculated that about 90 per cent of the excess heat generated from emissions is being absorbed by the ocean. Greenhouse gases, caused by burning fossil fuels, are trapping more heat near the Earth’s surface. The authors of that study put a value on those wetlands - an average of $1.8m of damage protection per square kilometre per year.īut as the seas rise, those wetlands - which sit at sea level - may start to disappear if they can’t rebuild quickly enough to follow the receding shoreline.Īnother study looked at communities around Chesapeake Bay in the Northeast and found that in a climate scenario with a lot of sea level rise, losing wetlands could more than quadruple flooded areas from a storm and add more than $8bn in damage.Įven without sea-level rise, hurricanes are expected to become destructive as the ocean heats up. One 2020 study found that in nearly 90 US tropical storms from 1996 to 2016, counties with more wetlands had less property damage. Rising sea levels can also wipe out natural defences that coastlines have against incoming hurricanes, such as wetlands of marshes and swamps that buffer storm surges and winds. Since the 19th century, the global sea level has risen by about eight inches – threatening coastal communities and increasing the risk of flooding when storms push water inland. As the oceans rise, due to melting polar ice sheets and increased heat that expands water, coastal cities like Tokyo and New Orleans will be more likely to be inundated during storms. Sea-level rise is one way that the climate crisis is making these storms more dangerous. Another study on 2019’s Typhoon Hagbis in Japan found that the climate crisis added at least $4bn in additional damages. ![]() Research on 2017’s Hurricane Harvey in Texas found that planetary warming made rainfall during the days-long deluge 15 per cent more intense. ![]() As Florida prepares for the incoming weather event, Atlantic Canada is recovering from post-tropical cyclone Fiona which made landfall in Nova Scotia early on Saturday.Īs the world’s average temperature increases and sea levels rise, hurricanes are expected to become stronger - and the damage more catastrophic, scientists say. Hurricane Ian officially formed as a Category 1 storm on Monday, bearing down on the Cayman Islands and Cuba as Floridians were warned to “be ready” for extreme weather in the coming days.Īfter months with few notable storms, the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is in full swing.
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